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Pricing VIX Futures and Options With Good and Bad Volatility of Volatility

Bibliographic record. Follow the original-source link for the publication.

Field Value
Primary domain Volatility
Other domains
Methods Research Methods
Facets Instrument Vix Options
Authors Zhiyu Guo, Zhuo Huang, Chen Tong
Published 2024-08-19
Source Journal of Futures Markets
Identifiers doi:10.1002/fut.22545
URL Open original source

Editorial synthesis

Why it matters

For VIX futures and options, if the model genuinely improves pricing accuracy, it affects model risk and hedging confidence. The claim concerns volatility-factor specification and the practical credibility of pricing for volatility derivatives. (abstract:S1, abstract:S2, abstract:S3, abstract:S4)

Main author claims

  • The authors claim to model VIX dynamics from realized semivariances and derive closed-form pricing formulas for both VIX futures and options. (abstract:S1, abstract:S2)
  • They claim superior pricing performance versus conventional unsigned realized variance and Heston-Nandi GARCH models in and out of sample, with upside/downside decomposition improving results. (abstract:S3, abstract:S4)

Data, method, or discussion scope

The evidence is limited to directional abstract-level statements and does not provide instrument set, windows, error metrics, or microstructure/cost treatment details. (abstract:S1, abstract:S2, abstract:S3, abstract:S4)

Main limitations

Relative superiority is asserted without explicit significance criteria, out-of-sample protocol, or benchmark calibration details, so overfitting and sample-selection concerns cannot be excluded. (abstract:S3, abstract:S4)

Relationships

  • None recorded.